Home Green Technology The Life Story Of A Dedicated Hydrogen-For-Vitality Employee Unfolds

The Life Story Of A Dedicated Hydrogen-For-Vitality Employee Unfolds

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The Life Story Of A Dedicated Hydrogen-For-Vitality Employee Unfolds

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It’s trivially straightforward to be snared by hydrogen for power. Then it’s straightforward to start out fixing the issues of hydrogen for power. Then it’s straightforward to wave away an issue set of hydrogen for power as not your concern. After which clear up extra of the issues for power. And wave away one other group of issues as one thing another person will clear up. After which clear up one more drawback with hydrogen for power.

After which you might be on the backside of considered one of many slippery slopes within the area of hydrogen as an power provider and do not know how you bought there or easy methods to get out. Your coronary heart continues to be in the proper place, working towards an answer for local weather change, however your thoughts and certain cash, profession, agency and fairly most likely inventory value are caught down a rabbit gap of your personal devising which is at present hindering local weather motion.

Let’s begin this journey in a sixth or seventh grade classroom. Proto-men and -women are gathered round lab benches in faculties. They’ve water and electrical energy. And so they make hydrogen. They show that they do by burning it. That is an experiment that may be carried out with a cup of water and a 9V battery. It’s trivially straightforward. Making power from water! What a rush!

And you then discover out it’s clear burning! Water vapor and nothing else. You discover out that it’s extremely power dense, with each kilogram having as a lot power as a gallon or nearly 4 liters of gasoline.

You hear about world warming and fossil fuels. You join dots. You turn into satisfied, as so many have earlier than you, that hydrogen is an answer to the worldwide warming drawback of power from fossil fuels. It appears really easy?

You discover books like The Hydrogen Financial system and articles and discover gushing press releases about gasoline cell vehicles. You turn into satisfied that that is the place you wish to make your mark, the place you wish to contribute.

So that you go on in your training after which profession, working towards the clearly superior hydrogen financial system. You create a hydrogen power product or a agency or turn into a senior chief in a agency that’s working within the area. After which the issues actually begin.

Mercedes-Benz Group is stuffed with folks intent on exploring each engineering choice at nice expense, from the board of administrators to technicians. Metropolitan Vancouver, the place I stay, is stuffed with folks doing this sort of work for Ballard Energy, HTEC, Teralta, and plenty of different corporations. Nikola is stuffed with folks working to discover each failure situation regardless of years of ache. That is their story.

Don’t let or not it’s your story. Whether it is already your story, begin working in your exit technique should you haven’t already.

So, what’s the first drawback?

Quadrant view of hydrogen storage expense and density by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant view of hydrogen storage expense and density by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

Hydrogen is certainly power dense by mass, however not by quantity. It’s an extremely diffuse gasoline. That kilogram takes up 12 cubic meters or so at room temperature and strain. Against this, a gallon of gasoline takes up 0.004 cubic meters, about 3,000 instances much less room.

So the primary drawback you run into is that hydrogen is way too diffuse to be helpful in its regular state. It’s a lot lighter than air as properly, so should you let it escape, it’s going to merely disappear upward at an amazing price. That’s why it was utilized in zeppelins and blimps.

It’s a tiny little molecule as properly, which signifies that it’s an escape artist. Hermetic containers aren’t hydrogen-tight. It treats balloons and screw-on lids as minor inconveniences, pace bumps at finest. Hydrogen molecules are even smaller in comparison with gasoline or diesel molecules.

And that room temperature and strain factor is an issue too. Gasoline and diesel, along with being such massive molecules that you could virtually carry them in a sieve, are liquid at room temperature and strain, and on very giant ranges on both facet as properly. That signifies that they’re extremely handy to deal with and retailer. Dense, liquid, and large molecules that simply sit there are very nice to work with.

And so, job one for you is to construct every little thing with vastly tighter tolerances than is used for the fuels we use at this time. That’s okay, you’re working in a well-equipped lab and there are tanks of hydrogen sitting round and flasks designed for them. Not your drawback. However definitely an issue outdoors of the lab, the place each element concerned within the motion and storage of hydrogen needs to be designed, constructed, and maintained to these very exact tolerances.

So, you could have a flask that’s hydrogen tight, however it comprises nearly no hydrogen when full. Job two is to determine easy methods to make hydrogen quite a bit much less diffuse.

And so that you construct or purchase a hydrogen compressor. When you construct one, you need to construct one thing able to very excessive pressures and really tight tolerances. When you purchase one, you get sticker shock. This isn’t a $40 air compressor for automotive tires you may get on Amazon. No, an affordable hydrogen compressor that may obtain 300 atmospheres of strain, the equal of being 3 kilometers below the floor of the ocean, will set you again near $10,000, should you order 50 of them at a time from Alibaba.

That may assist you to put 20 kilograms of hydrogen in a cubic meter of area. That’s higher! Till you understand that you could put about 290 gallons of gasoline in the identical area. You could possibly put 25 gasoline tanks price of gasoline right into a cubic meter.

That’s simply not going to get you down the street, or assist you to preserve quite a lot of hydrogen round.

At this level, a bunch of individuals simply surrender. However not you!

You say, no drawback, let’s simply improve the strain! Again to Alibaba you go, the place you may get a 700 environment hydrogen compressor for $25,000. That’s the equal of being 7 kilometers underwater and you may put it in a storage — if in case you have an enormous storage and nothing else you wish to put in it.

Then, in fact, you need to rework each single element as a result of tolerances and engineering that labored at 300 atmospheres don’t work at 700 atmospheres. Greater high quality metal and gaskets. Even tighter machining. Much more expense.

Sooner or later in there you discover out the laborious approach that compressors fail frequently. You is likely to be feeling this simply within the $25,000 chunks of change leaving your capital account. Otherwise you is likely to be proven the statistics that in California and in all places else, compressors at hydrogen refueling stations are the one largest reason behind failures and the stations are sometimes out of service.

Extra folks simply throw up their palms, however not you.

You say there needs to be a greater approach. And so that you begin taking a look at options to this very costly, very difficult-to-build, very expensive-to-maintain compression and storage gear.

You ask your self, perhaps we are able to simply flip it right into a liquid? Then we are able to deal with it identical to we deal with gasoline or diesel. You recognize that gases flip into liquids if you chill them. You might need labored with liquid carbon dioxide, oxygen, or nitrogen earlier than. You recognize that these gases turn into liquids at -57°, -183°, and -196° Celsius respectively. They’re fairly frequent. How laborious can or not it’s to show hydrogen into an simply dealt with liquid?

Then you definately have a look at it. -253° Celsius. A lot colder than the opposite gases. Solely 20° above absolute zero. Solely 17° hotter than outer area between the celebs. Oh, and there’s one other catch. Once you make liquid hydrogen, about 25% of it’s secure, however 75% of it has its electrons aligned in an unstable approach that finally collapses to be secure. But it surely releases warmth when it does that, which turns the hydrogen again right into a gasoline. So you need to do extra chilling to beat that as properly.

Extra folks say sufficient, however not you!

Finally, you could have secure liquid hydrogen! Wonderful. So what if it takes a full third of the power within the hydrogen to sit back it right down to this absurd temperature. That’s a small value to pay for a liquid you may pump across the place.

You flip off the lights and head house, glad and searching ahead to a celebratory dinner. However if you come again within the morning, there’s no liquid hydrogen.

Oh, proper, stuff that’s 20° above absolute zero is a large vacuum for warmth, sucking it in as quickly as potential and with each bit of warmth, a bit extra hydrogen turns again right into a gasoline and escapes. Fortunately, nothing sparked otherwise you wouldn’t have a lab left.

Again to the engineering workshop, the place you design and construct globular, closely insulated, mirror completed tanks. That’s what’s required to merely restrict the speed at which hydrogen turns again right into a gasoline to a considerably manageable price. The truth is, the larger the tank, the higher, as you discover out quickly.

Actually quickly. The truth is, small mirror ball tanks omitted in room temperature below LED lights nonetheless lose quite a lot of hydrogen. So, you construct greater tanks once more. And you then construct a set of parts that seize the venting hydrogen and recompress it, bringing you to the purpose the place you now have all of the challenges of liquid hydrogen and compressed hydrogen on the identical time.

Extra folks depart the constructing, however not you. You’ve bought what it takes!

You go searching extra broadly. The fundamentals of temperature and strain have been exhausted. However perhaps a completely new department of science?

You return to highschool and get a PhD in natural chemistry. You recognize hydrogen binds with natural molecules and that compounds of hydrogen will be liquids at room temperature. In spite of everything, water is a compound of oxygen and hydrogen and it’s a liquid at lots of the ranges of temperatures people stay in.

Positive sufficient, you discover that natural compounds like toluene, dibenzyltoluene, n-ethyl carbazole, and different polysyllabic phrases you could have come to consider as regular can have hydrogen added to them by placing them below what you’ve come to consider as very cheap pressures of 30 to 50 atmospheres within the presence of unique catalysts. And out come substances just like the equally mellifluous methylcyclohexane, which is a secure liquid. You don’t actually discover the folks edging away from you at social occasions, however you might be actually seduced by natural chemistry, so why fear about different seductions?

Then you definately attempt to get the hydrogen again out. That requires warmth. Numerous warmth. A lot warmth in reality that you’re again to throwing away a full third of the power within the hydrogen to run the method. And the hydrogen is contaminated, so you need to purify it once more. However you may make the method extra environment friendly by storing the warmth from making the stuff to make use of if you need the hydrogen again. Extra designing, extra constructing, extra parts, extra price.

Oh, the thought is to make use of the liquid to ship the hydrogen some other place and the warmth is left behind. Huh. A lot for warmth restoration.

Extra folks depart the constructing at this level, however not you! You have got grit, you could have dedication. And so that you solid your eyes across the periodic desk. You keep in mind that hydrogen reacts with metals as properly.

Again to highschool you go, to get a PhD in metallurgy. Not the place you anticipated to finish up if you began, however you hadn’t been anticipating to cope with absurd pressures and temperatures both.

You uncover metallic hydrides, the metallic equal of the natural oxides out of your deep, deep foray into natural chemistry. Phrases like lithium hydride, lithium aluminum hydride, sodium borohydride, and ammine borane now movement out of your lips. You possibly can certainly mix metals like lithium and sodium with hydrogen, and identical to with the natural compounds, issues get sizzling. Uh oh, you suppose. I’ve been right here earlier than.

Sure, to get the hydrogen again out, you need to add in all of that warmth. And you need to cope with the strain drawback too, as a result of hydrogen is popping again right into a gasoline in a container filled with metallic. In fact, the warmth that got here out if you put the hydrogen in is lengthy gone should you really wish to transfer the metallic hydride anyplace too.

And you might be solely seeing hydrogen representing 1% to 2% of the mass of the metallic being taken up.

Extra folks depart the constructing. Often it’s hours earlier than you see one other particular person. However you persist with it, inventing increasingly more arcane compound hydrides, trying to nudge the storage larger, and also you handle it.

So now you may retailer cheap quantities of hydrogen in lots of very costly and heavy metals. Huh. The purpose was to create a reasonable distribution and storage mechanism for a lightweight gasoline, and now, after you’re employed out the maths, you could have a really heavy and costly one which isn’t any higher in the true world than liquid hydrogen or closely compressed hydrogen.

And it takes a very long time to “fill the tank” too, hours in reality.

Oh properly, you could have a toolkit of various hydrogen storage strategies, all dangerous, however perhaps they’ll be okay for various functions. Now it’s time to start out making a lot of hydrogen to place in them! How laborious may or not it’s? You probably did it in seventh grade, in any case.

Quadrant chart of expense vs cleanliness of different hydrogen types by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of expense vs cleanliness of various hydrogen varieties by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

The very first thing you discover out is that each one the hydrogen you’ve been taking part in with within the lab as you tried and failed to determine easy methods to retailer sufficient of the stuff cheaply is actually fairly filthy. It’s all comprised of pure gasoline utilizing steam reformation.

What’s that, you ask. Mainly a bunch of water and pure gasoline are piped to wherever the hydrogen is required. A bunch of the pure gasoline is utilizing to boil the water to make steam. Then extra of the pure gasoline is blended with the steam. That breaks the bonds of the methane within the pure gasoline, which is a very startlingly easy carbon and 4 hydrogen atoms molecule, at the least after your foray into natural chemistry. The hydrogen will get captured and the carbon makes use of all that pretty warmth to bind with oxygen from the air to make carbon dioxide. Oops.

A lot for clear burning, solely water out the tailpipe. The pure gasoline, you discover, has upstream methane leakage and methane is a very potent greenhouse gasoline, about 89 instances worse over 20 years than carbon dioxide. And the steam reformation course of between burning the pure gasoline and the chemical processes themselves pump out a bunch of carbon dioxide too. The mix signifies that each kilogram of hydrogen comes with 10 to 12 kilograms of carbon dioxide or equal.

That makes you a bit queasy, as you’ve simply spent a decade fritzing round with the stuff and casually venting it to the environment if you’re executed. Oh, wait. You get a information replace that hydrogen itself is a greenhouse gasoline, albeit not directly. It prevents that potent methane from breaking down as quick so it’s about 11-12 instances worse than carbon dioxide. You’re actually glad you needed to spend all that point engaged on extremely tight tolerance — and extremely costly — tanks, hoses and couplings.

Manufacturing hydrogen at this time is a world warming drawback on the size of all of aviation. That’s actually not what you anticipated if you began this journey. You thought it was all being made the identical approach you probably did in Grade 7. Fairly annoying to search out out that approaching 0% of the hydrogen used at this time is definitely made that approach and that there’s a 100-120 million tons of hydrogen local weather drawback to scrub up.

Okay, you need to make hydrogen in a cleaner approach. Let’s simply seize all the carbon dioxide from the pure gasoline and water course of. Oh, that’s two completely different units of gases, as a result of you need to stick one assortment system on the burner for the pure gasoline and one other assortment system on the extremely popular water vapor and carbon dioxide blended with different stuff popping out of the chemical course of.

No drawback, folks have been capturing carbon dioxide for 150 years in industrial processes as feedstocks to subsequent steps. ExxonMobil has been tooting its personal horn for all of the tens of millions of tons of carbon dioxide it pumps underground in Texas annually. This gained’t require a PhD, you suppose, I’ll simply have to purchase some parts off the shelf and slap them collectively.

So that you do this. Huh. That takes much more power to run all of that. The truth is, the most important drawback is getting the carbon dioxide out of no matter you captured it in. It’s important to make much more steam to unclog the pores of the Corning sorbent or to interrupt the carbonate bonds, which requires quite a lot of power out of your natural chemistry PhD.

And that power has to come back from someplace, so you might be burning much more pure gasoline and capturing much more carbon dioxide. That’s a little bit of vicious circle.

However at the least it’s capturing all the greenhouse gases, you suppose. Hmmm, perhaps it is best to measure that. Oh, you discover, the carbon seize answer is simply capturing about 85% of the carbon dioxide, at the least when it’s working, as typically it will get switched off when nobody is wanting. No drawback, you suppose, I’ll simply bolt a 3rd carbon seize answer on and push the remaining gases by that! As much as 98% or 99% now, which is sweet sufficient for getting on with.

Oh wait, extra power, burning extra pure gasoline. However at the least you could have all of the carbon dioxide. Wait, what are you going to do with it? Texas is a great distance away and also you understand that ExxonMobile’s claims are literally about pulling carbon dioxide out of the bottom in a single place and placing it again underground in one other place to get extra oil out, in order that’s not an answer.

No drawback, again to highschool to get a geology PhD. Okay, now the place you may put that completely huge quantity of carbon dioxide, which as a result of it’s filled with oxygen from the environment, is far heavier than the pure gasoline that powers the method. And there’s much more of it quantity sensible as properly. Huh. There are quite a bit fewer locations to place it than you thought, so you’ll have to drill much more holes and do much more engineering. No drawback! Somebody will do this. You simply must get the carbon dioxide to the websites.

Time to construct a pipeline. Plenty of pipelines it seems, as a result of locations the place hydrogen is manufactured and used are often nowhere close to locations the place it’s remotely handy and low cost to retailer carbon dioxide underground. What number of kilometers of pipelines does the EU suppose are going to be required? 19,000! That’s fairly near the size of all the massive highways in Europe, you suppose. And much more than the high-speed rail on the continent. Appears a bit iffy.

However at the least it’s simply carbon dioxide. That stuff isn’t poisonous, so if a pipeline bursts, nobody shall be in danger. Then your natural chemistry PhD kicks you within the head with the reminiscence that carbon dioxide is heavier than the combination of oxygen and nitrogen we breathe and that it sinks to the bottom till it diffuses. And that the pipelines must be filled with liquid carbon dioxide as a result of that’s nearly 600 instances as dense as gaseous carbon dioxide so it’s cheaper to ship.

And identical to liquid hydrogen, liquid carbon dioxide loves to show again right into a gasoline. You do an idle Google search and begin studying about Satartia, Mississippi, the place a type of pipelines used to help in getting extra oil out of the bottom burst in 2020. Dozens unconscious or on the verge of it from asphyxiation, some thrashing on the bottom. A whole lot evacuated. Inside combustion engines in vehicles didn’t work both. Yikes, the pipeline burst 1.6 kilometers from the middle of the tiny city, inhabitants 41 and concentrations of carbon dioxide hours after the occasion have been nonetheless within the tens of 1000’s of components per million. Well being considerations begin at 5,000 components per million and it seems that folks begin getting silly lengthy earlier than that stage.

No approach that’s going to work in the true world the place the pipelines must undergo closely populated areas. The general public well being danger is just too nice. You marvel why anybody is contemplating this insanity as you return to the drafting board, after a fast and lonely lunch within the cafeteria.

Okay, Grade 7 time. Let’s make us some hydrogen from water and electrical energy, you suppose! Clearly a nine-volt battery gained’t do. To get actual portions of hydrogen, we’re going to want multi-megawatt energy feeds. And we’re going to want an electrolyzer. And a few gear to take away water vapor from the hydrogen. And pumps for the water. And energy administration gear for the electrical energy.

And we want all these compressors and tanks we spent a lot time constructing what looks as if a long time in the past. Huh. That is beginning to look costly.

You pull out a serviette and a Bic pen. You begin scribbling. About 55 MWh for a ton of hydrogen. That’s quite a bit and prices an terrible lot at industrial electrical energy costs. After which you need to pay for all that costly gear. You understand that the electrolyzer is simply 1 / 4 of the full capital price if you add within the stability of plant. No drawback, should you run the gear 24/7/365 you suppose.

Nonetheless, that’s actually costly hydrogen, properly over $10 per kilogram at grid retail costs, simply to make it, by no means thoughts do something with it. You suppose it is best to test the carbon debt of the electrical energy too. Oops. At 200 grams of carbon dioxide per kWh, a fairly good stage in most components of the world, that’s 11 tons of carbon dioxide for each ton of hydrogen. The European common is round 250 grams, ignoring Poland’s coal crops, so it’s really 14 tons. That’s worse than simply utilizing the pure gasoline and water methodology!

Okay, we are able to clear up this, you suppose. What we’ll do is construct massive wind and photo voltaic farms and dedicate their output to creating hydrogen. Oh, extra capital price. And the wind and photo voltaic farms nonetheless solely overlap to create sufficient electrical energy perhaps 60% of the time on a very good day. Oh, my low cost alkaline electrolyzer doesn’t work besides with 24/7/365 electrical energy? Oh properly, you guess you’ll must spring for the PEM electrolyzers at double the capital price.

You do some extra scribbling. That basically didn’t change the equation quite a bit.

You wander by the empty halls of the constructing as you concentrate on it, waving to the janitor and the handful of different researchers by the doorways of their echoing labs.

Aha, you suppose. The world goes to overbuild renewables so there’s going to be free electrical energy a bunch of the time. You’ll simply use that! So that you go and have a look at it. Then you definately discover that utilities nonetheless count on to receives a commission for delivering electrical energy anyplace, in order that they’ll afford transmission, distribution and administration prices. Even should you can persuade the utility to solely cost you these prices and solely make hydrogen when there’s an extra of wind and photo voltaic on the grid, you solely get electrical energy 15% of the time, so your capital prices will make the hydrogen much more costly. However at the least it might be inexperienced!

I do know, you suppose, we’ll take these wind and photo voltaic farms to locations with superb wind and photo voltaic sources in Africa and South America the place there are enormous swaths of empty land. We’ll use low cost labor and cope with the native baksheesh. We’ll construct huge inexperienced hydrogen crops there and make hydrogen as cheaply because it’s potential to do it. We’ll have to construct transmission and storage to agency the era in fact and that is all in locations with usually no roads, so we’ll must construct these too. Hmmm… appears like we’ll must construct desalination crops and energy them as properly, however the energy for these is tiny in comparison with how a lot juice hydrogen sucks down.

You hear a door slam within the distance, however you’re employed on.

Possibly, you suppose, there’s a unique method to get the hydrogen out of methane? In spite of everything it’s simply carbon and hydrogen. How laborious may or not it’s? And so that you uncover pyrolysis. That is it, you suppose. The Holy Grail! Warmth up methane in an oven with none oxygen round and the bonds break. You find yourself with hydrogen and a bunch of pure black carbon.

Wait, that carbon is efficacious too! Individuals put it in rubber for tires and the like. You suppose, that is it, you could have two income streams, one for hydrogen and one for carbon.

After which your chemistry PhD kicks you within the head once more. How a lot hydrogen and the way a lot carbon? Huh. 12 tons of carbon for each 4 tons of hydrogen. That’s quite a lot of carbon. The truth is, this pyrolysis factor appears to be actually good at making carbon and has hydrogen as a byproduct, not the opposite approach round. You suppose, this appears awfully acquainted. Oh, yeah, steam reformation makes much more carbon dioxide than hydrogen too and electrolysis from grid electrical energy makes an terrible lot extra carbon dioxide than hydrogen as properly, even should you keep away from Poland.

How massive is the worldwide marketplace for carbon? Solely 14.5 million metric tons? So should you made 3 million tons of hydrogen, 2% or 3% of the present world hydrogen demand, you’d fully swamp the worldwide carbon black market? So actually, pyrolysis for hydrogen simply makes extra waste. However at the least it’s not carbon dioxide!

We may bury it for carbon credit, you suppose. Then you definately understand it was already buried within the methane and begin to understand that there’s an issue in all of this. Why unbury it so as to bury it?

Possibly we may use a number of the methane that seeps out of landfills and dairy barns, you suppose? Then you definately have a look at some numbers and understand that whereas there’s an terrible lot of it, it’s extremely diffuse, with any given supply emitting little or no methane, potent as it’s.

And also you understand that it’s most likely higher used straight for biomethanol, one other massive local weather change drawback.

Then, a glimmer of hope in a darkish room of despair. You understand that evening has fallen and nobody has mentioned goodbye to you as they left, nonetheless many individuals nonetheless stay within the constructing. You’ve final monitor, however you suppose George and Sharon and Aafia have been nonetheless round final time you checked.

However the glimmer. A information alert has are available in your telephone. Somebody struck hydrogen! They’re calling it white hydrogen and it’s naturally occurring. Nobody bothered to test earlier than as a result of it was so handy to only get pure gasoline and use it to blast water into hydrogen and carbon dioxide. But when we are able to simply pump it out of the bottom, you suppose, that’s the win!

Nature may have made it without spending a dime identical to coal, oil and gasoline. By definition it will likely be low cost as a result of all we’re doing is catching it. And it will likely be low carbon as a result of as soon as once more all we’ve to do is catch it.

So that you begin Googling for particulars. You discover that there’s a tiny village in Mali the place it’s popping out and used to generate electrical energy for his or her lights. Little or no hydrogen. And there’s a large discover in a mine in Albania! Large? 200 tons a 12 months, however quite a bit much less within the one a part of the mine the place it’s effervescent out of a spring. That’s … not a lot. The spot in France has probably 46 million tons of the stuff they usually aren’t positive how a lot of it they’ll extract, however that’s nonetheless solely half of a single 12 months’s world demand for stuff we already use hydrogen for. Definitely nothing left over for transportation and heating.

Your a number of PhDs make it clear to you that it is a faint hope useful resource with quite a lot of unanswered questions. Your geology PhD particularly has you serious about the comparability between recoverable reserves and the tiny quantities you might be listening to about.

Oh properly, again to creating it in sparsely populated locations on Earth in order that it’s low cost and transport it to the place it’s wanted. How costly may that probably be?

Quadrant chart of expense vs density for hydrogen transportation by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of expense vs density for hydrogen transportation by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

You’re getting smarter as you grow old. You suppose, hey, perhaps another person has already considered this. You keep in mind that man, Bogdan, on the pickup soccer recreation 5 years in the past. He mentioned he was engaged on shifting hydrogen round. You head off to his lab, which you vaguely bear in mind was up three flooring within the northwest nook.

You discover it, after getting misplaced, then going to the entrance desk the place a safety guard appeared shocked to see you. He helps you to in as properly, as Bogdan deserted ship not lengthy after that sunny afternoon. It’s dusty, however the lights work and there may be nonetheless quite a lot of stuff on the white boards and pinned to the partitions.

Huh. 85% of hydrogen used at this time is manufactured the place it’s used as a result of it’s so costly to ship? Who knew?

The subsequent massive class is pipelines, customized constructed ones in Germany and Texas, about 3,400 kilometers between them. They lead from massive pure gasoline and water hydrogen manufacturing crops largely to grease refineries and fertilizer crops. Wait, the most important single shopper of hydrogen is oil refineries?

Your natural chemistry PhD kicks you within the head and reminds you that crude oil is usually actually thick, particularly if it’s from Alberta, Argentina or Mexico, tends to be filled with sulfur and has a bunch of different impurities. All that oil we use requires a full third of the hydrogen we use simply to scrub it up and separate it into diesel, gasoline and asphalt. That’s a silver lining, you suppose. All that crude oil goes to go away when you crack this hydrogen for transportation, heating and power factor!

And we are able to reuse pure gasoline pipelines! Possibly mix hydrogen in some share first! Let’s begin with that. Is there something on Bogdan’s whiteboards about that?

Disenchanted, you learn that mixing even 20% of hydrogen in with pure gasoline isn’t an answer that makes the slightest sense. Your chemistry background begins filling within the blanks even earlier than you learn them. Hydrogen is far much less dense than pure gasoline, in fact, therefore your issues with simply storing sufficient of it. And it requires extra power to compress. And it’s tougher on electronics. Out the opposite finish, you would possibly save 7% of carbon dioxide emissions with a 20% mix of pure gasoline, however you’ll additionally get much less warmth out of it. And as you’ve found, hydrogen isn’t low cost except you make it in a windy, sunny desert beside an enormous freshwater lake.

However absolutely we are able to purge the pure gasoline and simply pipe pure hydrogen. Wouldn’t that clear up the issue? Bogdan’s left-hand slant handwriting solutions that as properly. You learn with rising dismay about hydrogen embrittlement which your metallurgy background properly fills in a lot of particulars about, strain surges in gasoline strains inflicting microfractures, sensor substitute with hydrogen-hardened sensors, new compressors which might be triple the ability — compressors once more! You might be beginning to curse the existence of the issues —, most likely inner coatings and even then, you might need to run much less hydrogen by the pipeline than pure gasoline so far as items of power go. That looks as if quite a lot of costly work to reuse a metal tube and positive sufficient Bogdan is unenthusiastic about it.

Possibly at the least the utility gasoline distribution grid that goes to houses and buildings? Nope. Even worse. Not an opportunity of reusing any of that. It could all must be ripped up and changed in many of the world. There’s some hope for some locations that have been utilizing city gasoline, as that was 40% or 50% hydrogen, together with a really nasty quantity of carbon monoxide, however even there the leakage price of the escape artist molecule that’s 11 instances stronger a greenhouse gasoline than carbon dioxide offers you a twinge in your intestine. That’s why the one remaining hydrogen village within the UK, Fife, is seeing all of the pipes resulting in houses constructed anew at nice expense. Tens of millions for 300 houses, you learn. Appears costly.

Okay, so largely new and costlier pipelines constructed from scratch for hydrogen transmission. And you continue to have to resolve getting the hydrogen from the mouth of the pipeline to the place it’s going for use. If it’s the one alternative for heating and cooking, then clearly we’ll spend the cash to tear up and change the pure gasoline distribution grids, you suppose to your self. An issue for an additional day.

Whereas we look forward to the pipelines, you suppose, what different choices do we’ve? Oh, compressed hydrogen tube vehicles per one other whiteboard. Not even 300 atmospheres, extra like 180 atmospheres. That’s not even two kilometers below the floor of the ocean, you suppose, remembering your days of making an attempt to compress hydrogen to depths that might enable bathyscaphes to discover the Mariana Trench.

Wait, this one. You spend 10 seconds serious about it and understand that at 180 atmospheres, there simply isn’t that a lot hydrogen in a semi-trailer load. That you simply’d want 14 or 20 of them to maneuver the identical power as a tanker of diesel. Properly, that’s not viable. Did Bogdan agree? Definitively.

Had been there any solutions? Sure, the identical ones you discovered if you have been making an attempt to retailer hydrogen. A lot larger pressures, far more unique tanks, a lot tighter tolerances, a lot higher expense. And whilst you have been very cautious round what would have changed into a large explosive if it had burst, you have been working below very secure circumstances and taking each security precautions in labs constructed for the aim at nice expense.

You have got a sinking feeling. Individuals are really considering of driving these strain bombs on highways and metropolis roads? Whereas different vehicles, vehicles and buses are on the identical roads? With human beings behind the wheel placing on make-up, checking sports activities scores or texting family members? You word that they’re an extended, great distance from getting approval for any of this and breathe a sigh of aid. You bear in mind the instances numerous extremely pressurized tanks gave approach throughout your time constructing them and the way the constructing rang. 700 environment strain tanks and freeway site visitors are a horrible concept.

Certainly there’s one thing else! Oh, wait. They wish to put liquid hydrogen in vehicles and drive that across the place? They already do, however it’s fairly uncommon and used solely when hydrogen is the one substance for the job. Actually, if there may be any different to driving liquid hydrogen vehicles round, it’s taken. Bogdan notes that vehicles of the stuff symbolize a homeopathic quantity of the tonnage of hydrogen used yearly after which solely on rigorously vetted routes.

You concentrate on a collision that bursts the liquid hydrogen tank for a minute. You consider 20° above absolute zero liquid hydrogen spilling out over a college bus of youngsters, then flashing to 850 instances the amount and igniting in an air gasoline blast. You blanch on the thought.

Fortunately, you suppose, we’ll have hydrogen pipelines in all places, regardless of the associated fee, as a result of we’ll want them for furnaces and stoves. Yeah, that’s the ticket!

You proceed round Bogdan’s dusty, deserted room. Oh, wait, persons are severely serious about placing liquid natural hydrogen carriers in tankers and transport them world wide? Which may make sense, you suppose, if hydrogen may probably be low cost, however even in the absolute best circumstances it’s much more costly than pure gasoline for a unit of power. And you then throw away much more of it to make the carriers and get the hydrogen again out ultimately. That multiplies the associated fee somewhat considerably.

Huh, some persons are speaking about doing that with ammonia. Your natural chemistry PhD kicks you at the back of the top once more, one thing you might be beginning to resent. It reminds you that whereas ammonia fertilizer is the bee’s knees, enabling the world to be fed, it’s handled as an especially harmful substance and dealt with very rigorously by protecting gear clad professionals wherever it’s used. You seize your telephone and test the typical price of a ton of ammonia at this time, suppose by the price of the hydrogen, add the Haber Bosch course of capital and working prices to it and are available out with principally double the associated fee per ton.

Then liquification as a result of it’s not a liquid at room temperature once more. Then steaming throughout oceans, which Bogdan’s white board helpfully reminds you is completed for fertilizer at this time. Then getting the hydrogen out or burning the ammonia straight. Bogdan’s notes once more helpfully let that this might be roughly 10 instances the price of burning coal and multiples of the price of pure gasoline. Properly, that’s a non-starter. There should be one other approach.

Uh oh. The subsequent white board has extra liquid hydrogen, however huge ships of the stuff. That’s nutty you suppose. Liquid pure gasoline tankers are already huge bombs saved moored a great distance from ports. And so they comprise much more power in the identical quantity. And so they take quite a bit much less power to show right into a liquid. And they’re nonetheless the most costly power any nation makes use of and so used solely because the power of final resort. Liquid hydrogen ships will price 5 to 10 instances as a lot to ship the identical items of power. That’s simply nuts.

Properly, fortunately we’ll be constructing huge pipelines 1000’s of kilometers from northern Africa or the like. We’ll pay the large premium for liquid hydrogen transport for just a few a long time. In spite of everything, it’s not like there’s any method to generate much more power a lot nearer to house or one other approach of transport power lengthy distances. We’ll have to import a lot of hydrogen, you suppose and construct huge worldwide pipelines to maneuver it.

In spite of everything, we’ve to make use of the stuff. At the very least that’s low cost, isn’t it? Time to roll up your sleeves and have a look at use instances, you suppose.

Quadrant chart of hydrogen energy usage by expense and efficiency by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc
Quadrant chart of hydrogen power utilization by expense and effectivity by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc

Wait, electrochemistry? You keep in mind that stuff out of your natural chemistry PhD. It makes the Krebs Cycle appear cheap and that’s so advanced that nobody who studied it may probably imagine in an clever designer. Gasoline cells are all concerning the electrochemistry. However hey, you don’t must be taught the stuff, you simply have to determine easy methods to use it in an finish to finish answer.

In spite of everything, you now know easy methods to retailer hydrogen and that it’s costly. And you know the way to make hydrogen and that it’s costly. And you know the way to move hydrogen and know that it’s costly. You have got a sinking feeling as you begin to put the lengthy checklist of issues earlier than utilizing hydrogen for warmth or movement can occur.

You bear in mind questioning why hydrogen refueling station costs within the EU and California have been charging US$15 to $36 per kilogram when the pure gasoline and water course of you constructed price solely $1 to $2 per kilogram to make the stuff. Maybe all these hydrogen stations have been utilizing solely very costly inexperienced hydrogen? There’s nobody round to ask, so that you Google a number of nations and websites. No, it’s nearly completely hydrogen comprised of pure gasoline with none try to seize the carbon dioxide. Huh.

Weaker folks than you could have lengthy fled the constructing, nearly everybody in reality, however you gained’t let this sinking feeling of dismay preserve you from making the hydrogen financial system a actuality. You’re going to take a look at all of the methods to make use of hydrogen for power and discover the very best one.

You begin with the gasoline cell. You remind your self that you simply way back determined you weren’t sensible sufficient to do a level in that black alchemical artwork, so resolve to deal with it as a element, failure situation and price train. Not how the bits labored collectively, however that they did. At first it was reassuring. There was an extended historical past of utilizing gasoline cells. The truth is, the primary one was invented in 1838. A warning mild goes off behind your eyes, however with an effort of will you push it away.

They have been used within the Gemini rockets beginning in 1962. That’s wonderful, you thought, no matter is sweet sufficient for area journey should be adequate for roads and houses. But when it’s utilized in area, it’s most likely costly. Certainly they should have made them cheaper?

Huh. Probably not. They want platinum. And people membranes. How a lot per sq. meter! Oh. Ions must transit them, not get caught they usually must final a very long time. Wait, how lengthy do gasoline cells final? Huh, usually solely three years? Wait, some don’t final in any respect? You discover out concerning the buses delivered 18 months in the past to Mallorca in Spain, the place some refrigerant bought into the gasoline cells and destroyed the stack. That wasn’t reassuring. It’s like by accident placing diesel in a gasoline tank, however a lot simpler to do and it destroys the gasoline cell.

But it surely makes you marvel. How pure does the hydrogen and air coming into the gasoline cell must be? Ooops. Very. The stuff that makes pure gasoline odor like rotten eggs would destroy a gasoline cell. The truth is, nearly something that isn’t hydrogen and dry, filtered air will destroy a gasoline cell. So, solely very pure hydrogen, which prices much more. And a lot for reusing pure gasoline pipelines, as a result of the left over stuff in them would poison gasoline cells as properly. Actually, it’s all model new pipelines it appears, or redundant hydrogen purification crops far and wide.

The oxygen and hydrogen mix to type water, which you knew from Grade 7. However now you need to take into consideration what to do with the water. Properly, in a bus, simply shove it out the tailpipe, in fact. Oh wait, you suppose. You’ve taken buses within the winter time. You marvel if the water ever freezes. Positive sufficient, your telephone gives you an article a couple of 2010 to 2014 bus trial in Whistler, BC, in time for the Winter Olympics held there. The buses saved freezing up by the facet of the street.

Okay, along with fairly laborious core air filtration and dehumidification, filters adequate to eradicate 99.99% of pollution within the air in cities, together with the prices of standard substitute of HIPAA-quality filters each few weeks or months, add dehumidification of hydrogen, high quality sensors for the hydrogen, high quality sensors for the air and thermal administration of the water.

Oh wait, thermal administration. Wow. The hydrogen in a automobile tank is likely to be 350 or 700 atmospheres. And hydrogen is a bizarre gasoline. Not like nearly each different gasoline, hydrogen will get sizzling when it expands in temperatures the place we’d wish to use it. Loads. Okay, add one thing to dump that warmth. That is getting actually advanced. Fortunately you could have the very excessive tolerance, exactly engineered parts out of your storage efforts. What? They most likely gained’t work?

Oh no. Automobiles working in quite a lot of temperature ranges over tough roads have a lot larger vibration and exterior thermal growth masses. Again to the drafting board on a complete suite of parts you thought you’d completed with.

At the very least gasoline cells are environment friendly when they’re working, 60% or so. Wait, you suppose and begin including up the power alongside the trail from water and electrical energy by storage by transmission and storage once more and thru distribution. That’s 60% of quite a bit lower than you began with.

Wait, what’s the ability output of a gasoline cell that matches in a bus or truck? Huh, that low? That gained’t get a completely loaded bus up a hill. Higher add a bunch of batteries and make the system a hybrid. At the very least batteries are easy. Electrochemistry, positive, however all on the within, with nothing coming out and in besides electrical energy.

Good little black field element, come to consider it. Recharge it from hydrogen when the bus or truck is shifting on stage floor or parked. Get electrical energy out if you want it. Pity we couldn’t simply use them with an electrical motor. That might be extremely simple, easy and low upkeep. However that might by no means work, clearly, you suppose, ignoring a pointy ache behind your proper eye.

Oh properly, you suppose. on prime of the advanced air and water administration system, the advanced, costly and extremely failure inclined gasoline cell you need to add an enormous battery too. Possibly there’s one other approach.

Someplace within the constructing, a door creaks in a draft.

What about should you simply burn it instead of gasoline or diesel in an inner combustion engine, you suppose? They already vaporize the gasoline earlier than placing it into cylinders and hydrogen is already a gasoline. Straightforward peasy. It’s the Carnot or Diesel cycle, however burning stuff is quite a bit much less advanced than gasoline cells. We may most likely return to plain automotive air filters! We’d nonetheless must handle the water out the tailpipe, however we’d have tons and many waste warmth from the engine.

Oh, wait. That waste warmth. Effectivity. Crap. Solely 30% environment friendly on common at turning burning gases into ahead movement. 70% waste warmth.

That’s half the effectivity of a gasoline cell. And hydrogen is dear. You understand that no matter you make up in avoiding one set of complexity, you lose in operational prices. Wait, aren’t trendy inner combustion engines absurdly advanced beasts, with huge quantities of computerized monitoring and controls? You keep in mind that one co-worker, Gelila, grumbling about the way you couldn’t wrench an engine anymore with out a diploma in computer systems and a really costly diagnostics rig.

Are inner combustion engines really less complicated? Or are we simply used to them?

Then your natural chemistry PhD kicks you at the back of the top once more. You might be actually starting to remorse that diploma. Nitrous oxides. N2O and NO2. Laughing gasoline and the one with out a enjoyable title. One that’s about 273 instances worse than carbon dioxide as a world warming gasoline and one which causes smog that provides children bronchial asthma. Once you burn hydrogen or something actually, the nitrogen and oxygen within the air mix to make nitrous oxides.

Properly, that sucks. Any method to cope with it? Oh, push twice the air in for full combustion. That works. Any unwanted effects? Half the ability? So to get the identical energy from a hydrogen combustion engine we’d must make it quite a bit greater or bolt on superchargers, turbochargers or each?

Inside combustion hydrogen engines are clearly a whole useless finish and solely corporations that make them would suppose that they made any sense in any respect. When you concentrate on it, you understand that quite a lot of truck and engine producers don’t have any mental capital to talk of out of doors of inner combustion engines, management techniques for inner combustion engines and management techniques for the extremely variable energy that comes out of them. With out the engines, the businesses are going to vanish. Huh, you suppose to your self, that’s bought to result in some irrational habits.

There needs to be one other approach. Gasoline cells are clearly not one thing you wish to expose to metropolis air and inner combustion hydrogen engines are so inefficient it’s painful to consider them. Hey, perhaps we are able to return to that concept of liquid natural hydrogen carriers and ammonia, you suppose to your self.

Not at that we might use ammonia or the carriers. The primary is so absurdly harmful that we aren’t going to be utilizing that in transportation and the second doesn’t burn. But when we are able to make ammonia, we are able to make gasoline, diesel or kerosene!

Fortunately, you have already got an natural chemistry diploma, so this one is a cake stroll. You already know the way a lot every little thing prices to make hydrogen, you’ve already checked out Haber Bosch capital prices, you’ve already seemed on the distant areas with good circumstances of sunshine, wind and contemporary water. You have got every little thing you want!

Oh, wait. The place’s the carbon coming from? All alongside, it’s been an issue with making hydrogen from pure gasoline, however now you wish to make gasoline or diesel, you may’t discover any. Properly, at the least not cheaply, as you found if you tried to seize it from the pure gasoline and water course of.

Properly, it’s a waste product, in order that they should be giving it away. What? US$100 per ton delivered, if you’re fortunate? Possibly you may seize it from the air? What? $400 minimal per ton, extra seemingly $1,000? You do the fundamental chemical mass balancing in your head earlier than your PhD kicks you once more and whistle. That’s going to be some costly gasoline!

You return and mud off a few of your price workups for all the fine details. You concentrate on sources of carbon dioxide and understand that fermentation for biofuels could be a very good supply of the stuff. So you then do a tough design of a bespoke built-in chemical processing plant in the midst of nowhere the place there may be nice sunshine, wind and contemporary water, together with all the biomass feedstocks for a biofuels plant built-in in with the remaining. One thing is making your eye twitch, however you may’t work out what it’s and the corporate nurse stopped coming to work a 12 months in the past, so that you ignore it.

You add up all of the capital and working prices, one thing you’re actually far too good at now and have a look at the tip end result. In the best possible case situation, you might make gasoline or diesel for under 4-6 instances the price of present diesel, However at the least you’ll be making a bunch of cheaper biofuels on the identical time. It’s important to work laborious to disregard the twitching now, however you’ve turn into oddly good at ignoring issues.

Properly, it appears like gasoline cells are it then, laborious as that’s to imagine after seeing how advanced, costly and failure inclined they’re. We’ll simply must stay with it. With a way of dread you do some Googling for upkeep knowledge on gasoline cell fleets. Ugh. California’s hydrogen buses are costing 50% extra in upkeep than their diesel buses and double what the far more quite a few battery electrical buses are seeing. Fortunately, battery electrical buses clearly can’t work they usually’ll all fail, so full pace forward.

You suppose, at the least warmth is a positive factor. Hydrogen burners are fairly straightforward to make and burning hydrogen turns the power into warmth with actually excessive effectivity. We are able to make hydrogen furnaces, stoves and industrial warmth parts. That’s a slam dunk.

Wait, you suppose. Didn’t you simply cope with burning hydrogen in an inner combustion engine? Doesn’t it make nitrous oxides? You look it up and positive sufficient, open hydrogen flames produce quite a lot of nitrous oxides. Certainly there’s an answer? Positive, a lot larger velocity hydrogen, it seems. Which means a lot smaller hydrogen tubes with a lot larger pressures and really completely different flame and warmth traits.

Which means changing a bunch extra parts inside furnaces, range and industrial heating parts. And for the commercial warmth, usually that’s dialed in for the temperatures and traits of pure gasoline, so your complete course of will most likely want fixing.

However at the least we’ll be heat within the winter,and know that African sunshine through the miracle molecule of hydrogen is conserving us that approach. You suppose, positive, it will likely be actually costly, however it’s not like there’s any different. It’s not like we are able to transfer warmth from inside our houses to outdoors the identical approach that fridges do. Positive there are electrical stoves, you suppose, however it’s not like we are able to create prompt warmth in pans with magnetic induction or something.

You’re feeling a migraine approaching as you allow for the day, questioning when the safety guard on the entrance desk stopped exhibiting up.

However one thing was forcing itself out of the again of your thoughts into the entrance of your thoughts, one thing about ammonia. That’s proper end-to-end system security. You resolve to determine that out for quite a lot of use instances within the morning.

Quadrant chart of safety and viability of selected hydrogen use cases by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of security and viability of chosen hydrogen use instances by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

You’d already glad your self that nobody might be considering of extremely poisonous ammonia as a transportation or heating gasoline. It was simply too costly to exchange coal and simply too harmful to be put in gasoline stations. So that you have been a bit bewildered if you realized that the maritime trade was really contemplating this.

You knew that you simply needed to chill it to -33° Celsius to show it into a comparatively secure liquid, which appeared like a foul factor to require of a gasoline. What if the ship was becalmed and the engine died? The ammonia would boil off as a gasoline and kill everybody on board fairly shortly. That might be laborious to regulate for.

And placing it in ports outdoors of the hazardous supplies zone? Pumping it from barges to ships tanks whereas waves have been hitting each vessels? That simply appeared a bit odd.

Your chemistry PhD kicked you once more. There was one thing you have been forgetting. Oh, wait ammonia reacts with water to create a really corrosive gasoline that rots lungs. After which it transforms another time into one thing that’s simply actually dangerous for human well being and aquatic life.

An enormous ammonia spill in a port would probably kill 1000’s or tens of 1000’s of individuals, you realized. What are they considering?

Once you monitor again a bit, you discover that it’s the dearth of a necessity for carbon within the ammonia, which is simply nitrogen and hydrogen. They’ll save a bit of cash on the gasoline so in the absolute best case situation it’s solely 4-5 instances as pricey as present maritime gasoline, which is healthier than artificial methanol which might be 5-6 instances as costly.

Properly, that is smart, you suppose. Clearly somebody has labored out that killing quite a lot of sailors and the occasional portful of individuals is cheaper than paying for methanol. Uh, you suppose, methanol is definitely a liquid at room temperature and also you keep in mind that it may be comprised of current human-caused biomethane, at the least till you drive the thought out of your head earlier than your eyeballs explode with cognitive dissonance.

Inform me, you suppose to your self, that nobody is severely serious about placing liquid hydrogen in airplanes with human passengers! You had nightmares for per week serious about liquid hydrogen on roads, however in a pressurized tube at 38,000 toes with 300 folks aboard? Wait, the required globular, closely insulated, mirror-finished tanks must be behind the air craft! You recognize you may’t put liquid hydrogen within the wings and albeit in something besides globular, closely insulated, mirror-finished tanks and have a lot hydrogen left if you want it.

So all the weight of the gasoline must be contained in the fuselage. That’s bought to screw with what number of passengers or how a lot cargo you might carry, you suppose. The present gasoline is supported by the wings, but when it’s contained in the fuselage that’s tons of individuals or cargo that may’t fly. And it takes up a bunch of area.

Wait, all that boil off needs to be handled in addition to any leaks alongside the gasoline strains to the engines. If it begins leaking into the fuselage with the passengers, it might construct up and be ignited by a spark within the espresso machine within the galley. Yikes, you suppose, that might flip a passenger jet full of individuals right into a quickly dissolving cloud fairly shortly. What’s the ratio that hydrogen can explode at, 4% to 75% of the air? That’s quite a lot of power in an enclosed tube, which is type of the definition of an explosive. That’s a horrible concept.

And also you bear in mind a number of temporary years if you took flying classes, again if you weren’t working huge quantities of additional time to efficiently rework the world into the glowing way forward for the hydrogen financial system. It was actually vital to make it possible for the middle of gravity of the aircraft was over the wings. These massive tanks on the again are high-quality as a result of you may stability for them, however not for the hydrogen in them. When it will get consumed, quite a lot of weight will get eliminated.

You discover a typical narrow-body jet plane, have a look at what number of tons of gasoline it requires, then do the easy math to determine how a lot the equal liquid hydrogen could be. And also you understand that over a standard distance flight, an African elephant’s price of weight would evaporate from the again of the aircraft and it might nostril down and crash.

Then you definately replay the liquid hydrogen tanks cracking, spilling cryogenic liquids over what passengers survive within the burning wreckage, flashing to gasoline and exploding.

But folks have been engaged on this. What have been they considering? A few of them had spent 20 or 30 years engaged on this and have been pretending none of this was actual. Why, you’d simply began taking a look at aviation and also you’d seen this. Possibly the Boeing 737 Max failures for related causes tipped you off, however actually, it was useless apparent.

Then you definately keep in mind that episode of 60 Minutes you watched if you nonetheless had time to do something however repair the subsequent drawback with hydrogen for power, the one the place they talked with civil aviation consultants about how rigorously plane should be examined and confirmed secure earlier than they’re allowed to hold prospects. You calm down. Nobody will be capable to certify a liquid hydrogen plane that may carry passengers. There’s no path to that finish level, so you may relax. But it surely does make you suppose that some folks engaged on hydrogen for power are much less clever than others.

Fortunately, you handle to keep away from serious about the final 20 years of your profession, however a stabbing ache in your decrease again reminds you to take your muscle relaxants.

Properly, at the least hydrogen furnaces and stoves needs to be high-quality, you suppose. Then your chemistry PhD kicks you at the back of the top once more. Tiny, tiny molecule that’s an escape artist. A a lot larger vary of ratios to air the place it’s explosive. Plenty of sparks inside a home. That’s not good. You examine it to pure gasoline, as a result of a lot of folks have pure gasoline and discover that even now after a long time of security and certification efforts with that a lot safer gasoline, 4,000 buildings a 12 months within the USA alone blow up or burn attributable to pure gasoline leaks. Oh, that drawback with gasoline cells and the like means it most likely gained’t odor like something, by no means thoughts rotten eggs, in order that’s an added danger issue.

Then you definately discover the protection examine which finds that dangers of hydrogen are 4 instances higher. That definitely gibes together with your expertise. You’re employed with hydrogen professionally and have purchased extra multi-hundred greenback hydrogen detectors than you may shake a stick at. And put in very vital venting. And had costly inspections frequently. And are a bit phobic about hydrogen explosion dangers consequently.

By no means thoughts, multi-hundred greenback hydrogen detectors in each house. And doubtless massive venting holes close to the ceiling in each wall resulting in the surface. That may wreak havoc with the insulation, however that’s why you burn gasoline, to make issues hotter. Too dangerous it’s going to be far more costly gasoline.

That makes you ask your self, how far more costly? Properly, a gigajoule of hydrogen is slightly below eight kilograms. You’ve executed the maths and even through the model spanking new hydrogen utility pipelines to houses, the most cost effective it’s probably going to be is $10 per kilogram and that’s with a stiff favoring breeze. In order that’s $77 per gigajoule. How a lot does pure gasoline price? You don’t know since you stay in a constructing with electrical warmth, so that you look it up.

Wait, pure gasoline is about US$2 per gigajoule in western Canada? What? Possibly it’s much more costly in Europe? How about Germany? About $43 per gigajoule there. Nonetheless, $77 per gigajoule. Oh, wait, Europe simply went by an power disaster and continues to be shopping for actually costly pure gasoline. What have been they paying earlier than that?

About half that? So they’re used to about $21 per gigajoule and the most cost effective value that hydrogen heating will handle is over 3.5 instances that?

If solely there have been another, you suppose, as your migraine will get worse.

You’d already fearful sufficient about a lot of liquid hydrogen trunks crashing into faculty buses, so you allow that one apart, apart from a quick concern that Division of Transportation truck certification won’t be as rigorous as aviation certification.

As you suppose by finish to finish system security, you understand that the least dangerous use of hydrogen is to fabricate it in an industrial facility within the volumes required as an industrial feedstock for one thing like ammonia. That’s the place the place consultants in its use shall be working with rigorously monitored and maintained gear, have the budgets for security gear and processes and be totally conscious of the dangers they’re coping with.

If solely there have been options for transportation and warmth, you suppose, earlier than you collapse from the ache in your head.

Once you get well, you say to your self, lets go look. All the pieces else should absolutely be quite a bit worse, in any other case what have you ever executed together with your life? Let’s beginning with floor transportation. You perceive that gasoline cell vehicles gained’t be a factor, however absolutely that’s all that batteries and charging will be capable to do.

Quadrant charge of expense and efficiency for ground transportation by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant cost of expense and effectivity for floor transportation by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

Oh, electrical trains have been round for over 100 years and each nation on this planet that doesn’t share a border with the USA is simply placing up overhead wires? And they’re placing batteries on trains to get them previous the bridges and tunnels which might be too costly to wire up?

India goes to be executed electrifying this 12 months? India? They’re forward of China which is simply at 72% however constructing extra electrified rail on a regular basis and many of the new stuff is excessive pace.

The German state of Baden-Würtemberg did a complete price of possession examine and located that hydrogen could be 3 times as costly as wires and batteries? Positive simply the effectivity and upkeep prices alone make that apparent, you suppose, as your proper temple throbs painfully. And Decrease Saxony tried it at nice expense, discovered the identical prices and are giving up?

What’s the USA considering, holding out for hydrogen on trains?

However absolutely massive vehicles want hydrogen. The Nikola is one attractive beast and clearly extra competent than that weak Tesla Semi. Oh wait, What’s Run on Much less? NACFE? The North American Council on Freight Effectivity. Okay, appears legit, you suppose. Certainly the hydrogen semis rocked that and the electrical ones failed. Ummm. The Tesla Semis ran for over 1,600 km in a single day of full service with masses as much as the total 82,000 most weight loaded with flats of Pepsi?

Positive, each different electrical semi solely managed extra vary than the typical for 60% of all truck work days. Wait, you suppose.

Okay, so the Tesla Semi is fairly good, however absolutely the Nikola FCEV kicked its butt. Huh. Nikola had their battery electrical truck operating within the examine and managed 800 kilometers at some point? Solely half of Tesla, however nonetheless. 800 kilometers in a single day for a truck.

However absolutely that’s the restrict. Batteries are at finish of their growth you suppose. Oh, the world’s largest EV battery producer, CATL, introduced a battery with twice the power density of those within the Run on Much less vehicles in 2023 and is delivering it in 2024? So the Tesla Semi will be capable to run one thing like 3,200 kilometers in a single day and the opposite vehicles may see 1,600 simply by placing new batteries in? Or they might be lighter with the identical vary.

However absolutely hydrogen vehicles are going to get cheaper to function, you suppose. Then you definately slap your self within the brow. You already know {that a} hydrogen electrical truck is only a battery electrical truck with quite a lot of advanced, failure inclined gear added, together with tanks of extremely compressed hydrogen that you simply actually don’t wish to take into consideration within the occasion of a collision. You’ve seemed on the statistics.

However at the least the hydrogen shall be comparatively low cost to ship, you suppose, as a result of there’ll be an enormous community of gasoline pipelines operating into each constructing. One thing about that assertion makes you draw back in terror, however you’ve realized to stare into the abyss.

Tomorrow, you’ll do this tomorrow. Tonight you want a beer. You go in search of somebody to pull out to the closest watering gap, however after wandering the empty constructing for an hour you understand, you’re the just one nonetheless working there.

Quadrant chart of heating solutions by expense and temperature by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of heating options by expense and temperature by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

Properly, that’s a humiliation of riches for heating with electrical options. They’re all extra environment friendly and cheaper than hydrogen for heating. And no nitrous oxides!

Why did you suppose burning gases have been required for high-temperature warmth once more, you ask your self? You have got three PhDs and know the deep science of electromagnetics, electrical arcs and thermal warmth administration. Why have been houses, buildings and industrial warmth one way or the other sacrosanct areas for burning gases?

Warmth pumps and district heating alone kill heating gasoline pipeline networks. Warmth pumps are vastly extra environment friendly than burning issues for warmth, utilizing one unit of electrical energy to maneuver three items of warmth round. Identical to fridges. Huge warmth pumps operating off floor or waters sources and district heating and cooling are like peanut higher and jelly, Abbot and Costello or different well-known pairs, they’re simply higher collectively.

All of the glory of the electromagnetic spectrum is obtainable with electrical heating options, with absurd quantities of management. Burning gases is so crude and laborious to regulate by comparability.

Infrared, resistance, electrical plasma and even warmth storage make it clear that should you have been constructing one thing from scratch to be a decarbonized constructing or industrial facility, you wouldn’t trouble with pipelines operating hydrogen into it in any respect. After which the opposite penny drops for you.

The one tiny shred of aid comes from discovering that some chemical processes, at the least ones we use at this time, do require the chemical and thermal traits of open flames to work and that hydrogen may play that position. Then you definately bear in mind biomethane.

No use for hydrogen for warmth in residences, business buildings and most industrial amenities means no huge networks for hydrogen pipelines which might be as straightforward to connect with as pure gasoline distribution networks at this time. And there’s no huge community of distribution pipelines for hydrogen, finish makes use of for hydrogen simply bought much more costly.

Vans stops must obtain much more tanker a great deal of liquid or extremely compressed hydrogen than the diesel tanker vehicles that they obtain at this time. That multiplies the prices and security dangers much more.

Certainly nobody is severely contemplating this, you suppose? Little or no Googling finds that Mercedes Benz Group and hydrogen-supplier Linde have trucked liquid hydrogen to a refueling station that shops it as liquid hydrogen after which they pump liquid hydrogen in liquid hydrogen storage tanks on a Mercedes truck. You learn that once more, as you have been having hassle believing your eyes.

They’re placing liquid hydrogen tanks right into a semi tractor, then bringing that liquid hydrogen to room temperature with that huge strain and temperature change after which placing that right into a gasoline cell. And they’re doing that in a truck with a human driver that’s touring on public roads with texting idiots?

That requires a full top-down dedication to idiocy, you suppose. And positive sufficient, a Board govt is out in public selling and defending it on social media, the chief head for this system is closely engaged and numerous members of the group are actively celebrating this. At the very least that constructing continues to be full of individuals, you suppose, although you are actually fairly positive it gained’t final.

Why is Mercedes Benz constructing gasoline cell vehicles when the Tesla Semi and megawatt charging have made it clear that minor operational adjustments are all that’s required for the large beneficial properties in operational and upkeep prices? Possibly they didn’t specifically construct a truck for battery electrical and are attempting to shove completely different drive trains into the identical body.

You vaguely bear in mind one thing about Tesla and the Roadster on that time, however you have been properly into the hydrogen journey then, so tended to dismiss Tesla. Pity, as your retirement portfolio could be much more sturdy. You misplaced some huge cash in 2000 on Plug Energy, Ballard and FuelCell Vitality and held onto these shares, positive they’d bounce again.

Okay, so no hydrogen for heating and none for floor transportation. However absolutely maritime transport will use it?

Quadrant chart of expense vs viability for maritime shipping by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of expense vs viability for maritime transport by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

There’s some excellent news for you in maritime transport! The world’s now second largest container transport firm and a pacesetter within the area, is shopping for methanol twin gasoline ships and contracting for low-carbon methanol! You want methanol. It’s clear burning, a liquid at room temperature and solely about as poisonous as diesel. You don’t wish to gargle with the stuff, however it doesn’t make you run screaming from the room like ammonia.

Clearly they’re shopping for artificial methanol comprised of inexperienced hydrogen, by no means thoughts the value, proper? You take a look, luxuriating within the uncommon feeling of being positive of one thing and that hydrogen for power was a winner. And you then understand that each contract yow will discover an article about signifies that they’re shopping for biomethanol. The truth is, the primary ship that sailed out of South Korea for northern Europe was powered by methanol that got here out of landfill.

Methanol isn’t a hydrogen transport story in any respect! Additionally, as you poke at it you marvel why they’re bothering. It’s clearly going to be much more costly than biodiesel which is being bunkered in ports globally already.

However at the least batteries aren’t powering ships. That might be including insult to damage, you suppose. Then you definately see {that a} pair of 700 unit container ships have been launched in China and are operating common 1,000 km routes on the river. 1,000 km! How are they doing that? Oh, in fact. Containers filled with batteries that they change with charged ones with ports alongside the route. Huh.

You do some math. The power equations are actually easy after natural chemistry and metallurgy. Even with Tesla’s batteries, by no means thoughts CATL’s, a ship can journey a great distance totally loaded. 3.9 MWh in a single Tesla Megapack. That’s quite a bit in a transport container. And ships simply churn by the water on the identical pace. And battery electrical to motor drive trains are actually environment friendly.

That’s like half a ton of hydrogen, with out all the large quantities of fuss. However hey, that definitely gained’t get a ship throughout an ocean.

Look, liquid hydrogen. You aren’t as excited as you’re feeling you should be. You quickly discover that Equinor and Air Liquide gave up completely on a liquid hydrogen plant in Norway the place there have been about the absolute best circumstances for making inexperienced hydrogen, 24/7/365 electrical energy from totally amortized hydro and transmission, together with a lot of water. You understand how a lot all the equipment prices inside and outside and the way failure inclined it’s. Properly, at the least a liquid hydrogen fueled tanker could be pretty secure. Not a lot to run into out at sea. However the associated fee. And the boil off. And placing 20° Kelvin cryogenic hydrogen right into a ship from a barge. That’s not going to be low cost. Possibly there’s one other different?

Oh, proper, biodiesel. What’s that price? 1.5 to 2 instances maritime diesel? That’s it? When artificial diesel, methanol or ammonia could be 4-6 instances the price of fossil maritime gasoline in the very best case situation? Who thinks anybody goes to pay that you simply suppose. That’s simply silly. You’re keen on your Toyota Mirai, however you wouldn’t be capable to afford it if Toyota didn’t offer you $15,000 price of free hydrogen if you leased it. You have got a Tesla Mannequin 3 too, as a result of hydrogen refueling stations are so flakey that you could’t afford to have a Mirai as your solely automotive.

You wouldn’t be capable to get to the lab quite a lot of days to work on fixing the hydrogen for power drawback should you needed to depend on your Mirai. You marvel why your eyes are crossing and you make little grunting noise, however dismiss it.

You permit work early and drink alone, considering you’ll must get by aviation subsequent.

Quadrant chart of expense vs certifiability of aviation fuel alternatives by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Quadrant chart of expense vs certifiability of aviation gasoline options by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc.

You stroll in late, hungover. You sit down at your desk and begin Googling. The data is all there. It’s been there all alongside. Why didn’t you ever search for it, you ask your self. What prevented you from evaluating apparent options with actual knowledge. Why did you simply settle for that batteries and biofuels couldn’t probably energy airplanes?

Liquid hydrogen you already knew wasn’t certifiable. No method to sq. that freezing, explosive circle of passenger doom. And also you knew that gaseous hydrogen inside airplanes was loony too. Too little power density in explosively pressurized tanks that might flip into very excessive pace shrapnel if something went improper. You marvel why the civil aviation authorities just like the FAA and EASA are bothering to have interaction with the corporations nonetheless making an attempt to make any of this work.

Then you definately suppose, properly these corporations must spend some huge cash on certification and a bunch of that should go to the authorities. Not solely that, the thrill it should carry them to be taking a look at actually harmful new stuff after spending a long time ensuring aviation was the most secure type of transportation per passenger kilometer on Earth should give them an enormous thrill. They realize it’s not potential, however they’re undoubtedly delighting in considering of all of the methods it may go improper and there are such a lot of of them, as .

After which there may be artificial kerosene. Identical story. 4-6 instances the price of present aviation fuels in the absolute best case situation. Whereas tens of millions of tons of sustainable aviation biofuels are being put into planes already at a a lot cheaper price level.

Oh properly, at the least there gained’t be any batteries, you suppose mockingly to your self, positive now that you simply had no concept what you have been considering previously. And positive sufficient, you discover startup after startup with batteries, even much less power dense ones than Tesla’s. A hybrid electrical aircraft flew for twelve hours and had gasoline left over, you see. And you notice the latest papers making it clear that 100 passenger battery electrical plane with a biofuel generator for divert and reserve can already cowl 80% of passenger aviation on most continents.

Not adequate for crossing oceans, however biokerosene is sweet sufficient for that. You calm down and depart for an early lunch and perhaps a spherical of golf, considering you’ll take your Tesla. In spite of everything, it has much more room within the trunk for golf equipment. You begin questioning what the resale worth of a barely used Mirai is. Your headache threatens to come back again, so that you deal with visualizing your swing.

Tomorrow, you’ll have a look at grid storage, only for enjoyable. You might be fairly positive what you’ll discover, however you’ve all the time been a completist, which is why you’ve been working alone in an empty constructing for the previous couple of years.

Quadrant chart of expense vs duration for grid storage technologies by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc
Quadrant chart of expense vs length for grid storage applied sciences by Michael Barnard, Chief Strategist, TFIE Technique Inc

You park your Mannequin 3 within the spot closest to the door at 10 and stroll into the constructing, your shoulders and again unfastened after your 19 holes of golf yesterday . You sit down at your pc and begin Googling.

No shock. Cell-based batteries, largely lithium-ion for brief length storage. They’re in all places. The truth is, there’s a lot entering into within the UK that it appears like your complete requirement for that length of storage shall be accomplished by 2030. Oh and many new battery chemistries rising appear like they’ll be much more economically viable for stationary storage.

Redox movement storage appears promising you suppose. Your metallurgy PhD and hydrogen efforts make you concentrate on the iron redox response and positive sufficient, Kind Vitality is doing that. You marvel idly in the event that they’ve solved the hydrogen buildup drawback, however resolve that there are such a lot of folks working within the area — all these full buildings! — that even when their answer is useless, others will work.

Huh, you suppose, the carbonates you frolicked on are successfully power storage of a sure sort. You could possibly most likely create a redox response round that too. Aha, Agora Vitality. However ugh, electrochemistry, which is past you.

Anyway, redox makes it straightforward to separate energy and power, identical to a tank of hydrogen and a gasoline cell, however with out all the issues of hydrogen. That’s going to most likely be a wedge you suppose.

Pumped hydro continues to be a factor? China has constructed 58 GW of capability, most likely a TWh or extra of power storage in simply the previous few years and is constructing 365 GW extra by 2030? What’s this? The Australian Nationwide College did a GIS examine a number of years in the past and located 100 instances the useful resource capability in twinned small reservoirs with excessive head heights as the worldwide requirement for power storage?

Hmmm, you suppose. Grade 7 science. Mass instances acceleration attributable to gravity instances peak. For enjoyable you scribble it out by hand. A billion liters of water, a gigaliter, with 500 meters of head peak is a GWH of storage. Fairly good.

In order that covers peaking, quick response, time shifting photo voltaic to the night, shifting evening time wind to the day time and day forward reserve. Overbuild it just a little and it’s fairly straightforward to cowl per week, you suppose.

There’s no actual play for hydrogen for storage in any regular length.

However what about dunkleflaute? Possibly hydrogen has a play there? So, specialised huge salt caverns sluiced out, make tons and many inexperienced hydrogen when electrical energy is affordable and pump it underground. It’s a strategic reserve in any case, not a daily use factor. Your positive somebody has studied that and positive sufficient Sir Chris Llewellyn Smith did for the UK with a long time of climate knowledge.

Each ten years you want extremely lengthy length storage. Not yearly. And Smith thinks inexperienced hydrogen is the molecule for the job. You marvel why. In spite of everything, as you’ve found, there’s a lot of extra biomethane human processes are creating each day. A few of that shall be use to decarbonize methanol, you assume, however why not simply take a bunch of the remaining and shove it into current pure gasoline strategic reserves? Ah properly, not your drawback. Positively an finish recreation challenge.

You lean again in your chair. You suppose for a minute. You marvel should you’ve missed something. After which it involves you. The rationale for all that hydrogen storage and transport was to make the power we want a great distance away and import it, identical to we do oil, gasoline and coal. That appeared so apparent again then.

However you understand that each nation has a lot of room for renewable era and that electrical heating and motors are vastly extra environment friendly than burning stuff. The full power we’ll want will plummet and we’ll make much more of it quite a bit nearer to the place we want it. And we gained’t want almost as a lot of it to extract, course of, refine and ship fossil fuels, come to consider it.

How a lot power are we going to want to maneuver throughout lengthy distances? Not almost as a lot, you suppose. And the way will we transfer it? A little bit of Googling turns up extremely excessive capability direct present transmission that’s already operating 1000’s of kilometers from one facet of China to the opposite, connecting Greece to Israel, northern Africa to Europe, Europe to the UK and shortly Georgia to Romania.

You have got a lunch date, so that you don’t trouble to work out the maths. And tomorrow shall be time sufficient to achieve out to your buddy at Yara and see about decarbonizing ammonia fertilizer. You pack up your laptop computer, throw the withered cactus within the rubbish, flip off the lights and depart.


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